James Lavish told BMTV last month that he believes the bottom is in, and he says that cycle call still holds after hike odds spiked and tech stocks wobbled. He maps Bitcoin’s highs to the halving, the four-year election calendar, and the broader economic cycle, which in his framework still points to a mid-2029 peak. Looking at the power law, he says a one-standard-deviation move above the mean would be consistent with the $400,000 to $500,000 range, and that he “would be absolutely shocked” if Bitcoin were not in the $200,000 to $300,000 range by then. He is not treating short-term rate jitters as a reason to abandon that cycle work.

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Chapters: Fiscal Dominance and the $2 Trillion Deficit The Fed Balance Sheet Is Growing Again Hot CPI and a Near-Certain December Hike Bitcoin Trades on Short-Term Interest Rates The Fed Can’t Print Oil or Fix Home Prices When the Fed Called Uncle in 2018 and 2022 A December Hike and Possibly 50 Basis Points Treasury’s Quasi-Twist and $13 Trillion to Refinance Why Bitcoin and Gold Are Struggling This Cycle JPMorgan Says Bitcoin Beats Stocks, Bonds, and Gold From Career Risk to a Risk Not to Have Any The Cycle Still Points to a Mid-2029 High

DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing contained in this show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.

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