Polymarket bettors are putting their money on the U.S. Government remaining shut until Oct. 15, but they are also saying it will be back in operation within a month.

Bettors are giving a to the government being back in operation on Oct, 15 or later, with $1.4 million in volume in a $4 million contract on that date range.

Another contract gives a 67% chance that it goes on for 10-29 days, and only a 27% chance that its longer than a month putting it under the record for the which occurred during the first Trump administration.

Some to the U.S. government shutdown as a reason why BTC recently rallied, hitting new highs above $125,000.

The Congress is reportedly in with recent resolutions to fund and re-open government failing to hit the required threshold.